The essence of podcasting and punditry may be to peddle confident certainties, but often we don’t really know. So today I raise some important questions to which I really don’t know the answer, but which, alas, matter. When will Russians' patience run out? What will the next 'black swan' disruptor be? Would a ceasefire in 2024 benefit Ukraine more than Russia?
The Foreign Affairs article by Emma Ashford and Kelly A. Grieco I cite is here.
The KCL event I mention is here, the programme of the Danish Historical Days is here.
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